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The UK-France Returns Agreement — known internally as **Operation Hillmore** and publicly as the London-Paris Protocol — is entering its most critical phase. With the pilot scheme set to expire on **June 11, 2026**, and legal challenges stacking up in both London and Paris, the landmark "one-in, one-out" migration deal faces an uncertain future.Here's what you need to know about where the treaty stands today, what the numbers actually show, and why the next 80 days will determine the future of English Channel migration policy.
The mechanism is deceptively simple: for every migrant the UK returns to France after an illegal small-boat crossing, the UK accepts one eligible asylum seeker from France through a legal resettlement route.
::keyfacts
- **Signed:** July 29–30, 2025, by PM Keir Starmer and President Emmanuel Macron
- **Ratified:** August 4, 2025
- **Expiry:** June 11, 2026 (pilot period)
- **Scope:** Adult migrants only — unaccompanied minors are strictly excluded
- **Returns window:** UK must submit a readmission request within 14 days of arrival
- **Weekly cap:** Approximately 50 returns and 50 admissions per week
::end
The deal replaced the controversial Rwanda deportation plan, which was scrapped after the 2024 election. It marks the first formal returns mechanism between the UK and France since the Dublin III Regulation ceased to apply post-Brexit.
## The Numbers Tell a Complicated Story
Seven months into the pilot, the data reveals a scheme that is functioning — but barely making a dent in the overall crisis.
::stats
- **377** — Small-boat arrivals returned to France (as of March 2026)
- **380** — Asylum seekers accepted by the UK from France
- **~2%** — Share of total Channel crossers affected by the scheme
- **18,790** — People who crossed the Channel since the scheme began
- **80,000+** — People awaiting asylum appeals in the UK backlog
::end
The ratio tells the real story. The scheme was designed as a deterrent, but with only 2% of arrivals actually returned, the deterrent effect is questionable at best.
::chart bar
- **Returned to France** — 377
- **Accepted from France** — 380
- **Total crossings (same period)** — 18790
::end
For full coverage, visit https://www.linos.ai/world/london-paris-protocol-uk-france-migration-treaty-2026/
About Linos NEWS: Linos NEWS (https://www.linos.ai) delivers breaking news and in-depth analysis across politics, technology, business, science, health, world affairs, sports, and entertainment.